Archive for the ‘television’ tag
So far, 20 of this fall’s 25 new network shows have aired. We’ve been tracking tweets about all 25 shows for more than two weeks and today it’s time to check in with our data and see how the shows are doing. I’m going to take my first guesses at which new shows will be cancelled this season, based on a few of our standard quantitative TweetReach metrics. A few caveats before we begin, however…
First, since these shows premiered and air at different times, these initial metrics will be somewhat biased towards the shows that began the earliest in the season. In the next few weeks, this advantage will disappear, but for now, take these numbers with a grain or two of salt. Consider them directional indicators for now. And I’m not including stats for the five shows that haven’t aired at the time of posting. Second, different networks have different audience and revenue expectations from their shows. So just because one show has a smaller reach does not mean it’s less successful than a show with a larger reach on a different network or targeted to a different audience. Finally, this week’s predictions are based on numbers only – we’ll get into the more qualitative and content-based data next week. A terrible show can still generate nearly as much conversation on Twitter as a really good one, and we’ll sort out some of those distinctions in future posts.
So, on to the predictions! I’m going to try a few different models this week to get started. I’ll update these predictions next week when we have more data.
Cancel the lowest performing show on each network, based on reach:
- ABC – Suburgatory* (14.1M)
- CBS – A Gifted Man (3.0M)
- CW – Ringer (6.0M)
- FOX – Terra Nova (16.5M)
- NBC – Free Agents (3.3M)
*ABC still has three shows yet to air, so any of them could take over the lead in this position. Also, Suburgatory premiered just last night, so it could easily catch up to its peers in the next week or two.
Cancel the overall lowest performers, based on tweet volume:
1. CW – H8R (1K tweets)
2. CBS – A Gifted Man (3K tweets)
3 (tie). CW – Ringer, NBC – Free Agents, NBC – Prime Suspect (5K tweets)
4. CBS – Unforgettable (6K tweets)
5. ABC – Suburgatory (8K tweets)
Cancel the shows with the fewest people talking about them, based on unique contributors:
1. CW – H8R (<1K)
2. CBS – A Gifted Man (2K)
3 (tie). CW – Ringer (3K), NBC – Free Agents (3K)
4. NBC – Prime Suspect (4K)
5. ABC – Suburgatory (6K)
6. NBC – Whitney (7K)
Based on these three lists, I’d consider A Gifted Man, Free Agents, and Ringer pretty sure bets for cancellation. They show up in all three categories. (I’m giving Suburgatory one more week before we count it out, since it just started yesterday and the others have had more time to generate conversation.) And it’s not looking good for H8R or Prime Suspect either.
Finally, since I’d hate to end this post without saying something about the shows that are doing well on Twitter, here’s a few stats about some of the top performing shows.
The top five shows that seem safe, based on highest reach:
- X Factor (37.3M)
- New Girl (21.5M)
- Charlie’s Angels (19.6M)
- Revenge (17.3M)
- Terra Nova (16.5)**
**While Terra Nova is FOX’s lowest performing show so far (it’s competing against the X Factor and New Girl), it still has a higher reach than most of the other shows.
The top five shows that seem safe, based on unique contributors:
- FOX – X Factor (73K)
- FOX – New Girl (40K)
- FOX – Terra Nova (37K)
- ABC – Revenge (26K)
- ABC – Pan Am (25K)
We just learned that FOX’s New Girl was picked up for a full season. Based on the tweets, that seems like a good choice. It’s also looking pretty good for NBC’s Up All Night, CW’s The Secret Circle and Hart of Dixie, and CBS’ 2 Broke Girls, but I wouldn’t count my predictive chickens before they hatch. We’ll see what the tweets can tell us after another week of these shows.
So, what do you think? Have you seen any of these shows? Do these lists ring true with your experience? Tell us which shows you think will be cancelled (or picked up) in the comments.
Until next week, happy watching!
At TweetReach, we’ve tracked a lot of tweets about television, from special events like the Oscars, the Golden Globes and the Super Bowl, to regular weekly episodes of many of your favorite shows. That’s because we (and our customers) know that Twitter can tell us a lot about what an audience thinks about a show, from how much viewers tweet about a show, to when they tweet about it, to what they actually tweet about. There’s a lot we can learn about a TV program’s success just by analyzing the tweets about it.
So we thought it would be fun to track this fall’s 25 new shows on the five big broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC) to see what Twitter thinks about them. But we’re not content to just rank Twitter’s favorite shows. Oh no. Inspired by the New York Times’ Fall TV Season Ratings Pool and based on Twitter chatter, we’re going to predict what new fall shows will be canceled.
Want to play along? Leave your predictions in the comments. Which new shows do you think will be canceled? Or, even better, which new shows do you wish they’d cancel?
We’ll be posting throughout the fall with our updates, predictions and conclusions (and maybe we’ll even feature some special guests along the way!). For reference, here’s a list of the new fall shows, ordered by network.
- Charlie’s Angels
- Last Man Standing
- Man Up
- Once Upon a Time
- Pan Am
- 2 Broke Girls
- A Gifted Man
- How to Be a Gentleman
- Person of Internet
- Hart of Dixie
- The Secret Circle
- New Girl
- Terra Nova
- X Factor
- Free Agents
- Prime Suspect
- The Playboy Club
- Up All Night
We worked with ESPN to measure Twitter’s reaction to this year’s X Games 17, held in Los Angeles, California from July 28-31, 2011. Hundreds of athletes from 17 countries competed in sports like skateboarding, motocross, BMX and rally car racing. And over the four days of the X Games, 97,200 people tweeted 188,813 times, generating an impressive reach of 37.7 million*.
How’d they do it?
“Our goal going in was to make the event as social as possible,” says Mick Kelleher, Associate Manager of Multimedia Content Strategy for the X Games. This was a big, integrated effort combining all the ESPN teams responsible for producing the X Games. The TV production team showed the #xgames hashtag frequently during the telecast, included athlete Twitter accounts in on-screen bios as well as showing athlete tweets on air. The social team used the @XGames Twitter account to keep their followers on Twitter up to date on all the events. The social integration even went all the way to the event site, where they encouraged fans attending the Games to tweet.
ESPN used TweetReach Pro Trackers to comprehensively track and analyze all mentions of the X Games on Twitter for the week leading up to the event and during the event itself. As you can see below, the strong results of their social strategy speak for themselves.
The most retweeted tweet about the games was from @LilTunechi, which received 905 retweets and generated more than 3 million impressions.
One of the biggest stories to come out of this year’s X Games concerned Travis Pastrana, who broke his ankle and leg in the Moto X Best Trick competition on Thursday, but later competed – and placed fourth – in the RallyCross final on Sunday.
We analyzed tweets about several events in detail, including Moto X Best Trick, Skateboarding Big Air, BMX Park Freestyle, Rally Car Racing, Skateboard Street, and RallyCross. At one point during the RallyCross final, viewers noticed something strange; 200 people tweeted that they spotted The Stig from Top Gear walk behind Brian Deegan during an interview. Here are the big moments from one our favorite X Games 17 days. Click the image for the full size version.
Congrats to all the athletes who competed this year! Thank you for an exciting and action-packed four days at X Games 17.
Here at TweetReach, we’re big fans of the Games of Thrones franchise – the books and the HBO television show. So thought it would be fun to take a look at tweets about last night’s season finale. Here’s a word cloud made from tweets about the show, courtesy of Wordle (click on the picture for full size).
Yesterday, we tracked 253,321 tweets from 160,458 Twitterers about Oprah Winfrey’s final episode of The Oprah Show. The tweets have been pouring in all week. We, along with Resource Interactive, have monitored more than 600,000 tweets about Oprah and her show this week alone. Dozens of celebrities tweeted their congratulations and opinions on Oprah’s last show, including @TheEllenShow, @ricky_martin, @MariahCarey, @RevRunWisdom, @aplusk, @DENISE_RICHARDS, @Alyssa_Milano, @michaelianblack, @kevin_nealon, @kathygriffin, and @AnnCurry.
The Oprah Show aired for most markets at 4:00 p.m. local time. During the 4:00 p.m. hour in EDT, tweets spiked up to 2,500 tweets per minute during the final moments of the show. That’s a sizable spike, but compared to the 2011 Academy Awards (11,780 tpm) or even the Chrysler ‘Imported From Detroit’ Super Bowl commercial (2,816 tpm), it’s not even close to the highest spike we’ve seen for a television event (of course The Oprah Show wasn’t aired live in all markets at the same time, so these aren’t completely equal comparisons).
A few more tidbits from the data:
- 4,511 tweets including references to tears
- 8,001 tweets mentioned crying
- 5,183 tweets referred to feeling sad
- 12 tweets used the phrase “my life is over”
But not everyone was unhappy to see the show end. Many of the most-retweeted tweets were sarcastic remarks or jokes about The Oprah Show. For example, these tweets from @funnyordie (via @robhuebel) and @DamonLindelof received 1,068 and 677 retweets, respectively.
Oprah’s main demographic is women over 35, which isn’t really Twitter’s main demographic. So some of the most popular tweets about Oprah yesterday, like the two above, had nothing to do with the content of the show. But other popular tweets were quotes from the show itself, like these:
Oprah gave out her personal email address – firstname.lastname@example.org – on air and 1,179 people tweeted about it. She’s probably going to get a lot of emails. Good thing she has the time to read all those now. Just don’t accidentally email Opera.
Yesterday marked Steve Carell’s last episode portraying Michael Scott on The Office. Preliminary Nielsen ratings show last night’s episode of The Office earned a 4.1 rating and garnered more than 8 million viewers, making it one of the most-watched episodes of the season.
We tracked nearly 40,000 tweets about The Office and Michael Scott yesterday. These tweets reached a potential audience of more than 15 million people. During the east coast airing, tweets peaked around 1,100 a minute (compared to a peak of about 100 tweets per minute in last week’s episode).
Tweets about The Office on Thursday, April 28, 2011 (all times are displayed in PDT)
The big spike occurs in the hour of 6:00pm – 7:00pm PDT (9:00pm – 10:00pm EDT), when the episode aired in the Eastern and Central time zones. Approximately 80% of the U.S. population lives in these time zones, so a majority of the live domestic audience was watching during this hour. By comparison, the smaller spike at 9:00pm PDT included 2,546 tweets.
Tweets about Michael Scott and Steve Carell on Thursday, April 28, 2011
We separately tracked tweets specifically about Michael Scott (and/or Steve Carell), which saw a sustained high volume throughout the day. There were 35,460 total tweets yesterday, reaching a potential audience of 15.57 million. Most of these tweets were either quotes from Michael Scott (including 2,068 “that’s what she said” tweets) or fans talking about how they would miss Steve Carell on the show and how sad they were that he was leaving.
The most retweeted tweet came from @Lord_Voldemort7, which received 921 retweets and generated 1,166,149 impressions.
The tweet that generated the highest exposure was from @EW, which received 35 retweets and generated 2,045,163 impressions.
Overall, it was a pretty highly tweeted event, but not even close to some of the highest tweet volumes we’ve seen, even for a television event. For example, our friends at Mass Relevance tracked more than 4 million tweets about the British Royal Wedding last night. Of course, Steve Carell’s last episode on The Office doesn’t exactly compare to the international, once-in-a-generation pageantry of a royal wedding. Regardless, fans responded positively to Michael Scott’s farewell and seem optimistic about the future of The Office. Michael Scott left a big hole that won’t be easy to fill. That’s what she said.
With Steve Carell’s final episode of The Office coming up later this week, we’ve been tracking tweets about the show to see what people are saying about Carell’s departure and the show’s future. (In case you haven’t noticed, we really love what Twitter can tell us about how people watch television and what they think about their favorite shows.)
As you might know, Steve Carell has played the character Michael Scott throughout the first seven seasons of The Office; Michael is one of the main characters on the show. Since Carell announced that he would leave the show this season, people have been talking about what will happen to the show without him. NBC has gone to great lengths to bring on a slew of guest stars for Carell’s final episodes, including celebrities like Will Ferrell, Jim Carrey, Will Arnett, James Spader and Ray Romano. This has led to all kinds of speculation about who will replace Carell and how his replacement will (or won’t) measure up.
Over the past week, we’ve tracked tens of thousands of tweets about the show. Many viewers are sad that Michael Scott will no longer be on The Office – seriously, more than 10% of all the tweets we’ve tracked about his departure include words like “cry”, “tears” and “sad”. But lots of fans are open-minded, even optimistic, about the show’s future. In fact, very few people have expressed a desire to stop watching after Steve Carell leaves; so far, less than 1% of all tweets about the show mentioned not watching The Office anymore after this season.
What do you think? Are you a fan of The Office? Will you continue to watch after Steve Carell leaves? We’re continuing to monitor these tweets, so we’ll post an in-depth analysis after Carell’s final episode airs on Thursday.
We tracked more than a million tweets during this year’s Oscars telecast (along with partner Mass Relevance). So what did Twitter think of the show? Here’s our analysis of key moments and tweets from the show. Click here to view the full size version of this infographic.
Twitter got pretty excited when:
- Melissa Leo dropped the f-bomb during her Best Supporting Actress speech
- Toy Story 3 won Best Animated Feature
- Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross won Best Original Score for The Social Network
- The cast of Harry Potter, Twilight and other films were autotuned
- Oprah announced the Best Documentary Feature award (and when Banksy didn’t win for Exit Through the Gift Shop)
- Natalie Portman won the Best Actress Oscar
- The King’s Speech won for Best Picture
Other spikes were when:
- Mila Kunis and Justin Timberlake presented the animated awards
- James Franco dressed as Marilyn Monroe
- Christian Bale won Best Supporting Actor
- Mandy Moore and Zachary Levi’s performed the Oscar-nominated song from Tangled
- Colin Firth won the Best Actor Oscar
- PS22 sang Somewhere Over the Rainbow
By the way, our predictions for the big three Oscars were correct! As we dig more into the data over the next few days, we’ll be posting additional Academy Award tweet analysis here.
Last week, we used a chunk of tweets about the Academy Awards to attempt to predict who would win the Oscars. Our main assumption was that the actors and film that generated the largest reach would be the ones to win. Based on that assumption, our Oscar winner predictions were:
- Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld
- Best Supporting Actor: Geoffrey Rush
- Best Actress: Natalie Portman
- Best Actor: Colin Firth
- Best Picture: The King’s Speech
So, how did we do? Was our particular method of tweet analysis a winning one? Here are the actual winners (our predictions are in brackets, correct ones in green, wrong ones in red).
- Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo [Hailee Steinfeld]
- Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale [Geoffrey Rush]
- Best Actress: Natalie Portman [Natalie Portman]
- Best Actor: Colin Firth [Colin Firth]
- Best Picture: The King’s Speech [The King’s Speech]
So, we did pretty well! We got the big three – best actor, actress and film. We missed the supporting actor and actress categories, but we used a different analysis method for those categories, so that might have something to do with. We’ll post a more detailed analysis of our Oscar data later this week, including a review of these predictions and explanation of our methodology. For now, we just wanted to give you the update. More soon!
We’ve been tracking tweets about the Academy Awards for about a month. In that time, 213 thousand people have tweeted more than 417,000 times about the Oscars, reaching 59 million unique Twitter accounts and generating more than a billion impressions.
Over the past month, we’ve used a variety of methods to attempt to predict who will win the 83rd Academy Awards, based on tweets about the nominees. This post includes our third and final round of predictions. (See our first and second rounds here.) So, here are our final Academy Award winner predictions, based on the cumulative unique reach* of the nominees.
- Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit)
- Best Supporting Actor: Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)
- Best Actress: Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
- Best Actor: Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)
- Best Picture: Black Swan The King’s Speech
Here’s the full list of the ten Best Picture nominees, sorted by reach.
While there are more tweets (and a higher reach) in the Black Swan Tracker than in any other film’s Tracker, this is one of the noisier Trackers we’re running. A number of tweets about Black Swan aren’t actually related to the film (many are related to the ballet or are generic references to the term “black swan”). Because of this, its position at the top of the list of Best Picture nominees is tenuous. As a comparison, a majority of the tweets in The King’s Speech Tracker are related directly to the film. Given that, we believe The King’s Speech to be the true front runner in the Best Picture race.
As a reference, here are our week-by-week comparisons.
We’ll be monitoring tweets as they come in during the awards show on Sunday, so follow @tweetreachapp on Twitter and check back here next week to see what Twitter thought of the Oscars and the award winners.
*Reach is the total number of unique Twitter accounts that received tweets about the Academy Awards. These data reflect cumulative reach since January 24, 2011. To measure reach, tweet volume and other stats, we set up a TweetReach Tracker for each Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Actress nominee.